Keltner channel fade

The Keltner channel sits 2 ATRs either side of the 20 EMA. A close outside it is stretched. When the next candle closes back inside, price often drifts back toward the middle.

Mean reversion strategiesIntermediateConfirmed on candle close

Watch it play out

Replay plays a setup this strategy already finished and stops so you can call it. Live watches for the next one on Bitcoin (BTC-USD, 1-minute candles). Either way a setup is marked only when a candle closes, then it's locked and plays out to its target or its stop. Nothing to trade here.

How the live chart applies the rules
  • 1-minute candles. The chart runs every strategy on 1-minute Bitcoin candles from Coinbase, whatever timeframe the strategy page suggests. Times are New York time.
  • Closed candles only. Levels, triggers and stops are read when a candle closes. Entry is that candle's close.
  • One setup at a time. While a setup is playing out, the same strategy doesn't start another.
  • Sensible risk only. A setup counts only if its stop is between a quarter and 6 times the average candle range (ATR 14) from entry (wider for session-range strategies), and its target is at least 0.75R away.
  • How a setup ends. At its target or its stop. If one candle touches both, the stop counts. A setup also ends at any exit its page names, and after 120 candles (longer for trend and session strategies) if nothing is hit.
  • Replays. A replay plays the latest setup this strategy finished on the live chart's recent history, sped up. It's the same setup the live chart confirmed, with the same entry, stop and result. If the strategy hasn't finished one recently, the replay uses example candles and says so.
  • The trading day. A day runs 6:00 PM to 6:00 PM ET, like futures. VWAP restarts at 6:00 PM, and "yesterday" means the last full trading day.

How Keltner channel fade works

TargetStopStretched to the outer bandBack inside: fade
Example drawing, not live market data.
1Where's the level?
The upper and lower Keltner channel (20 EMA, 2 ATR).
2What's the trigger?
A candle closes outside the channel, and the next candle closes back inside it in the opposite colour.
3Where is it wrong?
Beyond the extreme of the last 4 closed candles.
4Where does it end?
The 20 EMA, the middle of the channel.
Markets
Futures, Stocks, Forex, Crypto
Timeframes
5m to 1h
Sessions
Range-bound sessions
Also called
Keltner reversion

What it means

The Keltner channel sits 2 ATRs either side of the 20 EMA. A close outside it is stretched. When the next candle closes back inside, price often drifts back toward the middle.

How it is confirmed without repainting

The channel is built from closed candles, and both the close outside and the close back inside must be finished candles.

When it fails

Breakouts with momentum, where price walks along the outside of the channel.

Education only. Prop Firm Duel does not provide trade signals or financial advice. This page explains how the strategy is commonly defined. Past results never guarantee future results.

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Gap fill

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